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Thursday 28 September 2023 18:25, UK
Arsenal could be in for a massive shock at Bournemouth, writes tipster Jones Knows, who takes aim at the weekend's Premier League card.
My theory on Aston Villa being a grossly overrated team set for a period of sticky results has been rammed back down my throat by back-to-back Premier League wins. However, their complete no-show in midweek at home to Everton, where they were outplayed in every department, has offered me hope that perhaps I am still onto something regarding Unai Emery's inability to sustain high-level results gained early in a new job.
To concede 1.83 worth of expected goals to a limited Everton attack, including four big chances, is quite eye-opening. It wasn't a severely weakened Villa team either.
You can't be offering up chances of that nature to Brighton, who have averaged over two goals per game in 38 Premier League matches under Roberto De Zerbi. They have shown a serious ruthlessness at sustaining leads having won the last eight games when scoring first and I'm always keen on backing them when priced as an outsider in the win-draw-loss market — like they are here at 8/5 with Sky Bet. Away win it is.
Under 2.5 goals in BOU vs ARS, Hickey +1 shots, Son +1 offsides!
Arsenal's last 12 games away from home against teams that finished in the bottom half have seen an average of just 1.9 total goals per game. And if you take the 2-2 against West Ham out of the equation, a team that went on to win a European trophy, that average drops to 1.7Read on skysports.com