Title hopefuls Germany get their 2023 Women's World Cup started with a group stage opener against African challengers Morocco in Melbourne on Monday.
Ranked 72nd in the world, Morocco are the lowest-ranked team in the Women's World Cup field, one of eight teams making their debut in the competition.
Germany are on the opposite end of the spectrum, ranked second in the world and coming off a Euro final appearance last summer. A supremely talented side, Germany have been handed a relatively straightforward group, but must still earn their spot in the knockout stage like everyone else.
With Colombia and South Korea waiting in the wings, Morocco get the first crack at springing a group stage upset, but it will take a Herculean effort to accomplish that feat.
Despite Germany's slip in a friendly loss to Zambia coming into the tournament, it's hard to imagine anything truly wonky happening here. The European nation is still one of the giants of women's world football, and they are too talented to see any huge misstep here.
Germany have lost just once in group stage play throughout their illustrious Women's World Cup history, winning 19 and drawing four. There's very little chance of an upset here, the only question is how lopsided the final score will be.
While I love to play handicaps in these games with large disparities between teams, the 2.5 goal handicap (spread) seems too accurate to mess with. Annoyingly, the total goal odds also feel spot on — the betting market has a way of getting it right.
Therefore, we have to look elsewhere. Germany is capable of running up the score on lesser opponents, and given that's a likely scenario here, their main goal scorer Alexandra Popp will be hungry for a haul. She's in great form, scoring
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