Jones Knows takes aim at the football feast across the weekend in the Premier League and the FA Cup, sprinkling his betting insight and analysis across the card.
I've always tended to look positively about what Sean Dyche is doing at Everton under huge restraints.
The underlying metrics have been strong despite poor results, Goodison Park is a tough place to play and Dyche himself is a manager with a underrated record at this level.
But I'm losing faith - quickly.
They're in a rut and may not get out of it over the next six games. Just one win in their last 15 Premier League games and scoring just 10 goals in that period is quite frankly pathetic. It's relegation worthy results.
But one thing that has been propping them up all season has been their exemplary defending - it's why I've stuck with them in some tough times. But now, that defence that was once a rock is now a sieve. Holes are appearing.
Their expected goals against metrics in their last seven games has plummeted to 1.90 per 90 - it's fifth worst in the Premier League over that time. And they've not played anyone higher than sixth during that spell.
I've got so much more faith in Nottingham Forest's forward line with Morgan Gibbs-White likely to be head and shoulders the best attacker player on that Goodison Park pitch. They've won four of their last five expected goals battles and have scored in every one of those five matches. I think Forest will score - and that should be enough for them not to lose the game as Everton are incapable of scoring more than once in a Premier League game in their current form.
Take your pick on the pro-Forest angles that are dancing in value. Forest on the double chance at 8/11 with Sky Bet looks very tasty as does the draw no bet
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