Our tipster Jones Knows provides his betting insight and analysis across the penultimate weekend of the Premier League.
Fulham, like many teams, have a horrific record against Manchester City, losing the last 15 matches in all competitions to an aggregate score of 55-7. But they haven't helped themselves in recent seasons by conceding a penalty in each of the last seven fixtures with Pep Guardiola's team - a wacky statistic that is hard to attach any logic to, yet one that could tempt a few punters into taking the 11/10 with Sky Bet for a penalty to be awarded in the match.
There's the right man in the middle for such an occurrence as Anthony Taylor has awarded more penalties this season than any other referee in the Premier League (13) while only West Ham (10), Everton (8), Man Utd and Sheffield Utd (both 7) have conceded more spot-kicks than Fulham (6).
In a turgid betting heat due to City being such overwhelming favourites, the penalty shout might be the answer.
Matthew Donohue takes charge of his first Premier League game here - and I'm always keen to back a cards angle when a referee steps into this environment for the first time. Ryan Christie to be carded is where my money will be going at 13/2 with Sky Bet. The tenacious Scot has become the destroyer for Andoni Iraola - if a player is there to be tackled, Christie will tackle him.
This is leading to a high foul tendency developing in his game, something which was on full show in the defeat to Arsenal last weekend where he was lucky to escape a red card for a foul on Bukayo Saka before eventually being carded later in the game. He's now made 23 fouls in his last 12 starts and has been shown a yellow in six of his last 22 appearances. His price is simply too big.
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