Supercomputer reveals Arsenal and Man City's chances of winning Premier League title

Another weekend of Premier League football has come to an end and both title challengers kept their ends of the bargain to stay in contention.

Arsenal remain in top spot after despatching Bournemouth 3-0 in Saturday's early kick-off, but Manchester City showed few signs of feeling the pressure as they crushed Wolves 5-1 thanks to four goals from Erling Haaland.

With the Cityzens boasting a game in hand over the Gunners, who are only a point in front, it's Pep Guardiola's side who still hold the cards heading into the final few weeks of the campaign. However, the Premier League delivers surprises when least expected, so a few more twists and turns before the 2023/24 campaign is over can't be discounted.

With that in mind, here's the state of play in the title race and how statisticians see the run-in panning out.

It remains all to play for at the top of the table, but not too much has changed in regards to predictions for first place following the weekend's results.

At the conclusion of Gameweek 34 after beating north London rivals Tottenham, Arsenal had seen their probability of finishing top of the pile jump from 26.6% to 32.5%. Their chances of success have enjoyed another boost but only by 1.6% this time, sitting at 34.1% following the win over Bournemouth.

That means Man City's percentage has taken another dip, though not as dramatic as last week's projections. They remain considerable favourites to claim a fourth league title on the spin, with rating them as 65.9% likely to finish ahead of Mikel Arteta's side.

Pos

Team

% before

% after

Change in %

1.

Arsenal

32.5

34.1

+1.6

2.

Man City

67.4

65.9

-1.5

Time is running out for Arsenal. While they sit at the top of the table and continue to win their matches, the north Londoners need