The 2023/24 Premier League table based on xG
No longer are phrases such as «yeah, but we had more possession», or «we had more shots on-target» used in fierce childish debates over a particular result, whether it be on the school playground, in the pub, or on the social media app of your choosing.
Use 'possession' or mere 'shots' in a debate and you'll be laughed at in 2023. The world's moved on. The rage now is field tilt, zones of control, and, of course, the fated expected goals.
This statistical phenomenon has entered mainstream consciousness for some time now, yet some still can't grasp its importance. Your dad's probably called it a «load of tosh» or words of a similar kind, but he probably bemoans the use of 'inverted' before 'full-back and tells you how much better things were in his day.
While 'xG' is relentlessly shoved down our throats, it's nonetheless important in gauging the sustainability of a team's performance. Will the success last, or have they been overachieving in front of goal, depicting a potential demise further down the line?
xG raises such questions while simultaneously attempting to predict an answer.
Here's how the 2023/24 Premier League expected goals table looks.
Pos
Team
Played
xG
Actual goals scored
xGA
xGD
1.
Brighton
4
10.22
12
8.43
1.79
2.
Man City
4
9.48
11
2.79
6.75
3.
Brentford
4
9.4
8
5.02
4.38
4.
Chelsea
4
9.24
5
4.63
4.61
5.
Tottenham
4
8.65
11
6.5
2.15
6.
Man Utd
4
8.41
5
7.13
1.28
7.
Arsenal
4
8.19
8
3.85
4.34
8.
Aston Villa
4
8.18
8
8.41
-0.23
9.
Liverpool
4
8.14
9
5.56
2.58
10.
Everton
4
7.95
2
7.8
0.15
11.
West Ham
4
7.37
9
6.52
0.85
12.
Newcastle
4
7.1
7
4.89
2.21
13.
Wolves
4
6.95
4
9.35
-2.4
14.
Crystal Palace
4
6.74
5
4.72
2.02
15.
Bournemouth
4
5.49
4
10.07
-4.58
16.
Nottingham Forest
4
4.45
6
6.71
-2.26
17.
Luton
4
4.37
2
9.01
-4.64
18
Fulham
4
4.3
4
11.29
-6.99
19.
Sheffield United
4
3.31
4
10.23
-6.92
20.
Burnley
3
2.61
3
7.64
-5.03
Brighton have been
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