Premier League predictions: Lewis Dunk can score from range at 40/1 when Brighton visit Palace

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Football Journalist

Thursday 21 December 2023 16:31, UK

Our betting guru Jones Knows is in the chair to provide his Premier League insight. He's got eyes on a Lewis Dunk goal when Brighton play Crystal Palace.

A look at how much Brighton have regressed this season can be seen through their odds for this fixture. When these two rivals met in February, Brighton stood a 13 per cent better win percentage with their starting price that day — around 8/11 in contrast to the 6/5 with Sky Bet available for the away win now. Despite my obsession for Roberto De Zerbi and his football burning strong still, Brighton have won just two of their last 12 Premier League encounters, so they are unbackable in a game that just screams draw.

Lewis Dunk's prices surrounding his shots from outside the box remain an area of punting interest.

The Brighton skipper has had nine shots from outside the box across all competitions this season — seven of them from direct free-kicks. Granted, seven of those nine have been off target but one hit the crossbar against Fulham and one drew a save out of Jordan Pickford in the 1-1 draw with Everton. Dunk to hit the target from outside the box at 16/1 with Sky Bet has a squeak — as does the 40/1 for him to score from outside the box.

Aston Villa are looking to make it 16 Premier League wins in a row to go top of the table while Sheffield United are the only team without an away win and have conceded the most goals in the top five European Leagues