Who will qualify for the Champions League semifinals? Opta's supercomputer has a clear answer

According to The Analyst, Real Madrid and Barcelona will exit to the tournament against City and PSG

The Champions League 2023-24 enters one of its most attractive weeks. A giant quarter-final is on the horizon, with another clash between Guardiola's City and Madrid; Luis Enrique and Mbappe's PSG against Xavi's Barcelona; an unbeatable Atletico at home to Dortmund and Arteta's Arsenal against Bayern.

As always, The Analyst brings us his predictions for these four knockout fixtures and indeed the rest of the tournament.

This statistical model uses odds from the betting market and Opta Power Rankings, which is based on historical and recent team performances.

The computer simulates the matches thousands of times. After analysis, it looks at how often each team is ranked to determine the final prediction.

According to OPTA's supercomputer, the most unbalanced tie of all (although the gap is minimal) is Manchester City-Real Madrid. The English side have a 60% chance of advancing to the semis compared to Real Madrid's 40%.

The two clubs have met in four of the last five seasons. In 2020-2021, Guardiola's side eliminated Zidane's men from the Champions League for the first time in the round of 16. In the 2021-2022 season, they met in the semis, with a miraculous comeback by Los Blancos.

Last season, the draw paired them in the semis again, and the Sky Blues again eliminated Madrid with a 4-0 win in Manchester.

In Tuesday's other tie, the supercomputer detects the differing form of Bayern and Arsenal. At the beginning of the season, the Germans were expected to be favorites against the English side, a team they have eliminated all four times they have met in the Champions League.

However, the situation has changed. Arsenal, current