NFL teams most likely to pick QB in Round 1 of 2024 NFL Draft

Every year, there are a handful of teams that clearly intend to select a quarterback in the first round of the NFL draft. And then there are the other teams, perhaps without a need as pressing or a selection that is high enough, that unexpectedly shake up the draft by paying a premium to climb the board for their preferred signal-caller.

Plenty of intrigue surrounds what the Bears will do with the first overall pick: Will they use it on a new franchise QB, like USC's Caleb Williams? If so, will one of the QB-needy teams below trade for Justin Fields instead of picking a new passer in Round 1? Might the Bears keep Fields and move out of the No. 1 slot entirely?

Complicating the top of the board even further is the fact that there are three outstanding receiver prospects worthy of a top-10 pick. Will teams desperate for a new arm under center still draft for need versus taking the best player available?

After digging into QB situations around the league, here's my best guess at the teams that are most likely to take a passer in Round 1 of the 2024 NFL Draft.