Premier League predictions: Man City too robust & ruthless for Arsenal, Brentford to beat Manchester United
Our tipster Jones Knows previews the weekend Premier League card as the title race hots up. Read on for his analysis and betting selections.
Lucas Paqueta makes West Ham tick.
Since start of last season from a 67-game sample size, West Ham have scored 1.6 goals per 90 minutes with him in the team and 0.6 without him. That means his influence is responsible for a goal a game. In such a low scoring sport, that is massive. Flanked by Jarrod Bowen and Mohamed Kudus, West Ham can be an exciting proposition when allowed to play with freedom.
At almost 3/1 with Sky Bet, they look worth chancing for the away win.
Joe Willock's goalscorer price is worth a mention, too. West Ham have shown they can't cope with his aggressive running into their box. In just 206 minutes of action against them for Newcastle, he's scored three goals from eight shots. Yes, that's a small sample size - but that's a goal every 68 minutes and a shot every 23 minutes.
His 9/2 anytime goalscorer price does look a punt to keep on your radar.
Teams that get the ball forward quickly are able to cause Bournemouth problems. Andoni Iraola's football is all about high pressing and creating turnovers up the pitch but if opposition teams bypass that with direct football, it not only negates that key strength Bournemouth possess but also leaves the back four very vulnerable.
There are seven teams in the Premier League who fall into the category of "fast and direct" when assessing sequences of play. They are Sheffield United, Luton, Brentford, Nottingham Forest, West Ham and Everton - and Bournemouth's record against those teams this season is P9 W2 D5 L2 - a really disappointing return.
Among those sets of results was Everton's 3-0 win at Goodison Park over Bournemouth in
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