Premier League predictions: Awesome Arsenal defence to shut out Brighton, Liverpool to thrash Man Utd
Jones Knows sprinkles his betting insight and analysis on the weekend's Premier League action, where he foresees another Arsenal win to nil.
The return of Jack Grealish for Manchester City is a welcome sight for punters who like to dabble in the fouls markets. That is especially relevant for this encounter where the two most fouled players in the Premier League since the start of last season, Grealish (3.49 fouls won per 90) and Jordan Ayew (3.17) are in action.
The total match fouls line has been set at 23 or more by Sky Bet and that looks generous based on the numbers. It's a bet that would have landed in the last four matches under Oliver Glasner with an average of 27 fouls per match as the new Palace boss has tried to make his boys more aggressive and less passive without the ball.
In a game that should see City extend their unbeaten 24-game run with a victory, the fouls angle makes significant appeal.
Can you smell that? It's bad blood.
It royally kicked off in the reverse fixture in December - with 10 yellow cards and two reds shown. No Premier League game has produced more booking points this season - plus, both Unai Emery and Thomas Frank were booked which doesn't count towards the total.
Villa have been shown 81 yellow cards this season - only Chelsea and Sheffield United have been shown more - while since Ivan Toney returned, Brentford's per game yellow average is spiking, especially away from home.
No team have been shown more yellows on the road since January 30 with 20 cards flashed in their direction.
All this equates to the 50+ booking points price at 5/6 with Sky Bet rating as a slice of value - as do the higher lines like 80+ at 4/1.
Everton have not won a Premier League game since beating Burnley in the reverse
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