Supercomputer predicts Premier League relegation scrap after Nottingham Forest receive points deduction

Nottingham Forest's hopes of Premier League survival took a major hit before the March international break.

Nuno Espirito Santo's side were already embroiled in the relegation scrap but a four-point penalty handed out for breaching the division's profitability and sustainability rules (PSR) means Forest really are fighting for their lives.

Everton were also previously punished for exceeding their PSR allowance, but how does Forest's immediate sanction alter their and other clubs' chances of going down?

After being referred to an independent commission in January, it was confirmed on Monday that Forest would be stripped of four points for their financial mismanagement.

The East Midlands outfit were treading water in 17th place before the ruling but have since dropped to 18th, below Luton Town by a point and four behind 16th Everton, who may still be hit with another PSR punishment yet.

Forest and Luton battled it out on Saturday as Luke Berry's late equaliser cancelled out Chris Wood's earlier effort.

Position

Team

Played

Points

Goal difference

15th

Brentford

29

26

-13

16th

Everton

28

25

-10

17th

Luton

29

22

-18

18th

Nott'm Forest

29

21

-16

19th

Burnley

29

17

-34

20th

Sheffield Utd

28

14

-50

The points deduction is a big blow for Forest but undoubtedly a major positive for other sides scrapping for survival down at the bottom of the Premier League.

While have seen enough from Everton to suggest dropping into the Championship is unlikely at best, Forest's punishment has resulted in Luton Town's chances of relegation dropping from 78.1% to 62.1%.

It's the Hatters' hopes which have improved the most of the teams in trouble down at the bottom, but their percentage is still almost double Forest's after the sanction came into effect. Their chances of relegation