Our tipster Jones Knows, fresh from a weekend of winners, is back to unleash his insight and betting analysis across an exciting Premier League card.
Bournemouth at 1/3 with Sky Bet to win a Premier League football match just feels wrong - but this is where the market is at with Sheffield United. Saying that, Chris Wilder's side did beat Luton on the road and put up good resistance at Wolves in the 1-0 defeat. I wouldn't be touching the Cherries at such prohibitive odds.
James McAtee's goalscorer and shots prices are worth a look with him being Wilder's main man in attack and the designated penalty taker. He's started the last seven Premier League games, hitting 10 shots across those matches with two goals dropping his way. He's 10/11 with Sky Bet to register two or more shots and 5/1 anytime to score.
There is no sign of the Premier League goal frenzy slowing down.
In the last 60 Premier League games, 76 per cent of games have gone over 2.5 goals - that's 46 of 60. Even those that are playing the over 1.5 goals lines at short odds will be in front as 92 per cent of the last 60 games have gone over 1.5 goals. The average goals per game in this time is 3.70.
And I think the market gets the goal line all wrong in these battles down at the bottom.
There is a clear trend developing that these type of games between relegation rivals are producing more attacking intent than what the expected models are telling the bookmakers.
Of the 27 games involving both Sheffield United, Luton, Burnley, Nottingham Forest, Crystal Palace, Everton and Brentford this season, the overall goal average has been 3.07 per game - usually that is above the market expectation of edgy and cagey affairs. And 41 per cent of those 27 games have seen four or more
Read on m.allfootballapp.com