Our tipster Jones Knows, fresh from a weekend of winners, is back to unleash his insight and betting analysis across an exciting Premier League Sunday and Monday.
Ange-ball has become bland-ball over the last five games.
Performances against Brentford, Everton, Brighton, Wolves and Crystal Palace have been very scruffy. Taking 10 points from 16 is a fair return but they've had to work very hard for those points, falling behind in four of those matches.
That obviously points to slow starts in their matches and the numbers from their recent first halves back that up. The failed to score in four of those five first halves stat is backed up by the expected numbers which shows they've only averaged 0.5 worth of expected goals in the first half of those games - the second worst first-half record in that period. That's very poor when you consider all those five games were against teams in the bottom nine.
They're now facing an Aston Villa team that would be top of the Premier League if first halves only counted this season, winning 47 points before the break and going in ahead in 13 of their 27 matches. It's a clear tactic from Unai Emery to play aggressively from the first whistle as since he took over in October 2022 - a 54-game sample size - only Liverpool and Man City have created more of what Opta define as 'big chances' in the first half (55).
I think they'll take this game by the scruff of the neck in the first half with the 7/4 with Sky Bet for Villa to be winning at the break looking good. Spurs may struggle to peg a team of this quality back.
Taking on Brighton after a midweek cup match is becoming a trend with serious substance.
Roberto De Zerbi's ploy of going all out in cup competitions has backfired with Brighton's
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